Категория: Air transport security

Analysis of risk assessment methods in the field of process safety at an airline

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DOI 10.51955/2312-1327_2024_3_45

Polina I. Benyaminova

Oksana G. Feoktistova

Abstract. The article discusses various methods of risk assessment in the field of of process safety at an airline. The purpose of the study is to determine the most appropriate risk assessment method to increase the level of safety at work and reduce the probability of dangerous situations. When analyzing the methods for detecting and identifying hazardous events and negative situations, we have highlighted the most effective ones. Based on this, the authors have created diagrams such as the “tree of incidents” and the “tree of events” has been developed for the event: industrial injury. The article considers the matrix method as one of the most common methods in the practice of professional risk assessment.

Key words: airline, risk, occupational risk, labour precaution, accident tree, event tree, noise, dangerous occupational factor, harmful factors.

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Methodological basis for creating an integrated safety management system for an aviation service provider

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DOI 10.51955/2312-1327_2024_3_21

Nikolai S. Khersonsky

Ludmila G. Bolshedvorskaya

Abstract. The need for this study arose against the background of the analysis of numerous publications, standards and identification of contradictions affecting vital problems of assessing the efficiency and effectiveness of the quality of work and services in the air transport industry. The analysis of theoretical and practical approaches in the studied area was carried out for solving the main task which is the development of correct terminology and practical introduction of the conceptual apparatus into new methodological approaches to creation and implementation of an integrated safety management system for an aviation service provider.

Keywords: product quality, aviation service provider, safety, integrated system.

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Noise as a contributing to aviation events condition

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DOI 10.51955/2312-1327_2024_3_6

Evgeniy Yu. Starkov

Nikolay I. Nikolaykin

Elena Ed. Sigaleva

Galina P. Stepanova

Annotation. The article provides statistical data on passenger turnover of air transport in comparison with other types of transport in Russia, as well as flight safety indicators over the last decade. The leading types of events leading to aviation accidents have been identified. It has been revealed that the cause of many of the negative aviation events that have occurred are violations of the functional state, loss of performance and errors of crew members, which are facilitated by the conditions of the person’s environment.

The authors study the variability of heart rhythms, reflecting changes in the psycho-emotional state of a person during noise. The results of the study confirm that a change in the activity of the sympathetic and parasympathetic parts of the autonomic nervous system of the human operator. This indicates the development of stress under the influence of noise.

The authors demonstrate the importance of counteracting the negative effects of noise on aviation personnel to improve flight safety and reduce injuries and propose to use otoprotection with an oxygen-argon gas mixture to concentrate the attention of the crew in extreme situations.

Key words: air transport, aviation accidents, human factor, noise, otoprotection, argon.

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Aviation specialist fatigue assessment by the random forest method

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DOI 10.51955/2312-1327_2024_3_33

Denis A. Evsevichev

Abstract. The article examines the fatigue of flight personnel and members of the air traffic control service as a risk factor affecting flight safety. The proposed software solution based on the random forest method makes it possible to identify the state of fatigue in an aviation specialist after passing a series of tests evaluating a decrease in performance based on existing symptomatic attributes. The introduction of the presented solution into flight safety management systems at aviation enterprises will improve the corresponding reliability indicators of both pilots and air traffic controllers.

Key words: fatigue, assessment, statistics, machine learning, binary classification, random forest, automation, program.

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Product quality output prediction based on a priori information

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DOI 10.51955/2312-1327_2024_2_27

Nikolai S. Khersonsky

Ludmila G. Bolshedvorskaya

Abstract. This work is a continuation of two stages of scientific research, where a universal algorithm for a system of applying statistical methods to manage non-conforming products has been developed and outlined.

The results obtained and their analysis made it possible to expand the range of studies and develop recommendations for improving the efficiency of the planning and forecasting of the technical and economic indicators of the enterprise, depending on a priori information on the influence of external and internal factors.

Keywords: a priori information, statistical methods, non-conforming products.

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On the need and possibility of reducing the impact of noise in order to minimize injuries at airlines

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DOI 10.51955/2312-1327_2024_2_6

Evgeniy Yu. Starkov

Nikolay I. Nikolaykin

Elena Ed. Sigaleva

Lilia Yu. Marchenko

Igor N. Merzlikin

Natalia V. Degterenkova

Galina P. Stepanova

Abstract. Summary data on injuries in Russia and at civil aviation enterprises over the years of the current century are presented. Continuous reduction in injury rates has been shown. Significant actual factors of the working environment that contribute to occupational injuries have been statistically identified, one of the main ones being noisy workplaces. Exposure to noise has a negative impact on hearing and the functional state of the central nervous system thus reducing performance, leading to errors, and contributing to injuries. The possibility to counter the noise effects by otoprotection with an argon-oxygen gas mixture has been experimentally confirmed.

Keywords: injuries, noisy workplaces, human factor, civil aviation enterprises, otoprotection, argon.

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Methodological support for the implementation of international flight safety standards in russian civil aviation

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DOI 10.51955/2312-1327_2024_1_37

Anatoly G. Guziy

Anastasia A. Shpakovskaya

Alexey S. Muravyov

Abstract. The present paper delves into the challenge of implementing international flight safety standards into the Russian regulatory framework governing the establishment, application, and refinement of aviation safety management systems (SMS) in the civil aviation sector in Russia. It underscores the reliance of SMS regulatory adherence on the Standards and Recommended Practices (SARPs) set forth by the International Civil Aviation Organization (ICAO). The paper conducts an examination of prevailing discrepancies, indeterminacies, and ambiguities in delineating core terms and concepts within the English and Russian renditions of ICAO SARPs documentation. Furthermore, it offers an evaluation of the implementation hurdles associated with SARPs in regulatory documentation pertaining to civil aviation flight safety in Russia. The deficiencies in the regulatory infrastructure for flight safety in Russia are substantiated. Drawing from practical insights gained in formulating and improving regulatory and methodological support for SMS in prominent Russian airlines, the paper proposes measures to mitigate inaccuracies and uncertainties in the integration of ICAO SARPs editions within the Russian regulatory framework for aviation industry service providers.

Keywords: international standards, regulatory support, implementation, methodological support, aviation safety, risk, factors.

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Method for predicting the probability of dangerous gusts of wind in the runway area when landing an aircraft

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DOI 10.51955/2312-1327_2024_1_57

Vitalii D. Rubtsov

Elena I. Trusova

Alexandra L. Rybalkina

Abstract. The authors propose a method of predicting the probability of occurrence of dangerous gusts of wind in the runway area during landing of an aircraft, based on the use of the distribution of absolute maximum wind gusts during the observation period. The method makes it possible to design an aircraft landing system that allows, depending on the probability of wind gusts, to make various management decisions: permission to land, sending the aircraft on a go-around, or sending it to an alternate airfield.

Keywords: gusts of wind, probabilistic description, flight safety, aircraft, theory of emissions of random processes, recording device on a probing beam.

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Pilot age and injuries in aviation

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DOI 10.51955/2312-1327_2024_1_24

Nikolay I. Nikolaykin

Elena Ed. Sigaleva

Alexandra L. Rybalkina

Olga B. Pasekova

Abstract. The results of an analysis of the influence of pilot age on injury statistics in civil aviation are described. The proportion of aviation accidents caused by human actions remains the same and even tends to increase. Workers continue to get injured during ground handling operations for aircraft. The authors’ assessment of the various risk factors contribution to ongoing negative events confirms the human factor prevalence. Statistics on the activities of civil aviation was analyzed. Examples of aviation accidents involving general aviation aircraft and medical aircraft transporting patients who required emergency medical care were considered.

It has been shown that there is a peak in the aviation accidents for pilots aged 50-59 years, and this peak is observed among experienced pilots with more than 5,000 hours of flight time. For pilots aged 40-49 years, half of the accidents occurred among aircraft commanders with 1,000 … 5,000 hours of flight time, and about one third among pilots with less than 500 hours of flight time.

It was revealed that for domestic general aviation in 2020, the main causes of aviation accidents were such elements of human factor as piloting errors associated with deficiencies in training and little flight experience; loss of spatial orientation in weather conditions that do not comply with visual flight rules, when the underlying surface is white, when caught in a snow whirlwind, as well as a collision with power line wires.

Keywords: aviation, flight safety, industrial safety, human factor, pilot age.

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Analysis of development of statistical methods for reliability assessment as quality properties of facilities and products

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DOI 10.51955/2312-1327_2024_1_6

Nikolai S. Khersonsky

Ludmila G. Bolshedvorskaya 

Abstract. Reliability is the most important characteristics of any object or product, since it is always important that what the supplier offers and supplies is of high quality not only at the time of purchase, but during the entire period of use. Currently, for the aviation and aerospace industries, for the military-industrial complex, the reliability of products is of particular relevance. This article provides an overview of scientific achievements in the field of reliability of technical facilities and products. Of course, this review is not overall. However, the consideration reflects a significant part of books, monographs and other fundamental materials that have not lost their relevance to the present. The results of the study are a kind of guide to the labyrinth of the most difficult problems of solving reliability problems and methods that can be used to solve them.

Keywords: reliability methods, product quality, objects of aviation, aerospace industries, military-industrial complex.

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